The prediction of travel and tourism economic impact in Azerbaijan

B.Sc. Nurlan Nuriyev, BSc

Diplomová práce

Abstract:

Tourism is one of the sectors that is used to diversify the economy and to supporteconomic growth. Its potential is emphasized by many economists what make it the core of manystate strategic programs of development. The goal of the thesis is to predict the tourism impact onAzerbaijan’s economy and to identify its future trends basing on the analysis of current state oftravel and tourism sectors.The theoretical part of the thesis presents approaches to the definition and maincharacteristics of travel tourism industry, internationally accepted classification of tourismindustries, analysis of the role of tourism in economy interpreted by researchers, what is thecharacter of the impact that tourism has on the economy and how it's measured. In addition, thetheoretical part includes a description of actual trends and future perspectives of tourism whichmay impact regional and national tourism in different countries all over the world. Practical partpresents the results of statistical analysis of tourism sector in Azerbaijan and researches aimed toidentify factors that have an influence on the economic role of tourism in the country. Anotherresearch represents the forecast of direct tourism contribution to GDP of Azerbaijan which can beadjusted with certain economic and political risks. According to the researches author suggestedtwo main scenarios of the tourism development that takes into consideration intensification of itseconomic impact.

Keywords

Tourism, Economic growth, Contribution to employment, Investment, Tourism international receipts, Contribution to GDP, Polynomial regression model, Governmental regulation, Tourism impact, Economy diversification

Jazyk práce: angličtina

Datum vytvoření / odevzdání či podání práce: 28. 3. 2018

Obhajoba závěrečné práce

• Vedoucí: Ing. Petr Procházka, MSc Ph.D.

Česká zemědělská univerzita v Praze

Provozně ekonomická fakulta

Magisterský studijní program / obor:
Economics and Management / Economics and Management