Climate Change and Internal Migration Patterns: A Case Study of Rural Pakistan

Shifa FATIMAH

Diplomová práce

Anotace:

In a changing natural environment, rural households adapt to increased risk in several ways. Sending one or more household members to a far off usually urban location is an adaptation strategy used in numerous developing countries across the world. The study analyses the extent of rural migration occurring due to climate change in Pakistan and examines how the migration patterns differ across genders. The study creates a unique longitudinal panel using the out-migration module of a nationally representative survey i.e. Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey (PDHS) 2017-18 and Standardised Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and finds that there is a significant and positive association between changing weather and migration out of rural areas. Moreover, this relationship is significant for both drought and floods where the probability to migrate across a longer time is higher for middle drought, heavy flood, and very heavy flood. The relationship between migration due to climate change and gender is also significant and the probability of females to migrate out of rural areas due to climatic shocks is high.

Abstract:

In a changing natural environment, rural households adapt to increased risk in several ways. Sending one or more household members to a far off usually urban location is an adaptation strategy used in numerous developing countries across the world. The study analyses the extent of rural migration occurring due to climate change in Pakistan and examines how the migration patterns differ across genders. The study creates a unique longitudinal panel using the out-migration module of a nationally representative survey i.e. Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey (PDHS) 2017-18 and Standardised Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and finds that there is a significant and positive association between changing weather and migration out of rural areas. Moreover, this relationship is significant for both drought and floods where the probability to migrate across a longer time is higher for middle drought, heavy flood, and very heavy flood. The relationship between migration due to climate change and gender is also significant and the probability of females to migrate out of rural areas due to climatic shocks is high.

Klíčová slova

Rural, Migration, Pakistan, SPEI, Adaptation, Climate Change, Gender

Jazyk práce: čeština

Datum vytvoření / odevzdání či podání práce: 31. 5. 2019

Obhajoba závěrečné práce

• Obhajoba proběhla 25. 6. 2019
• Vedoucí: prof. Simone Bertoli

UNIVERZITA PALACKÉHO V OLOMOUCI

Přírodovědecká fakulta

Magisterský studijní program / obor:
Geography / International Development Studies