Economic Exploration of Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture and Food Security in Tajikistan

Bc. Shafe Davlatzoda

Master's thesis

Abstract:

The purpose of this diploma thesis is to investigate how food security in Tajikistan is affected by various factors and by climate change on the agriculture sector of Tajikistan. The study used descriptive and regression analysis on secondary data based on annual time series data from 2000 to 2021 from different sources, such as the Food and Agriculture Organization, the World Bank, and the International Fund for Agricultural Development. The study showed that bread products are the most important food item consumed in Tajikistan, followed by melons and vegetables, meat, and dairy products. The study also showed that climate change represents a serious risk to the country's agricultural production, especially for crops such as barley, cotton, maize, rice, soy, sunflower, and wheat. The study further showed that the daily calorie supply per capita in Tajikistan is positively influenced by the total population and the imports of wheat and meslin flour. The diploma concluded that Tajikistan's food security depends on maintaining and enhancing its agricultural output, diversifying its food consumption, and ensuring adequate food imports. The study also proposed some suggestions to enhance the food security condition in Tajikistan, such as investing in agriculture sector and improving regional cooperation and trade and increasing food quality and safety standards.

Keywords

Climate Change, Food Security, Agriculture, Economic Resilience, Regression Analysis, Daily Calorie Supply, Sustainability, Time-Series Data, Wheat Production, Tajikistan

Language used: English

Date on which the thesis was submitted / produced: 30. 3. 2024

Thesis defence

• Date of defence: 27. 5. 2024
• Supervisor: Ing. Karel Malec, Ph.D.
• Reader: Jana Skřivánková, B.E., externi

Czech University of Life Sciences Prague

Faculty of Economics and Management

Master programme:
Economics and Management